Abstract
<p>Resilience denotes the capacity of a system to withstand shocks and to recover from them. We distinguish between two different types of dynamics. The first allows for a separation between phases of normalcy and phases of rapid breakdown followed by slow recovery. The second applies to volatile organizations in which such phases are intertwined.Breakdown is often self-inflicted. Situation awareness is impaired by psychological mechanisms that lead to incorrect expectations regarding societal dynamics. Through positive feedback, the failure of a few elements is amplified into a failure cascade. However, positive feedback can also be harnessed to enable recovery.In volatile systems, resilience must be understood as an emergent property arising from the interaction of agents. This necessitates a data-driven approach to inform agent-based models, drawing on repositories, knowledge graphs, or tools from artificial intelligence. Such models help demonstrate that resilience represents a compromise between robustness and adaptivity. Maximizing performance frequently comes at the expense of resilience, and second-order solutions aimed at transforming the system prove more promising than attempts to reconstruct past conditions.</p>